Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 2.970323 3.281291 3.617238 4.008167 4.451850 4.941234 5.523887
2025-07-06 2.405471 2.799469 3.253212 3.817948 4.506888 5.326313 6.384086
2025-07-13 2.139932 2.588057 3.129324 3.838406 4.753472 5.909280 7.503396
2025-07-20 1.970797 2.458767 3.071511 3.909067 5.042452 6.549997 8.753908
2025-07-27 1.844498 2.362910 3.035929 3.990493 5.337481 7.214283 10.108294
2025-08-03 1.731139 2.268975 2.987722 4.040832 5.583455 7.825108 11.455887
2025-08-10 1.626971 2.175746 2.928124 4.063019 5.782595 8.379576 12.783180
2025-08-17 1.495100 2.032188 2.784031 3.945493 5.755353 8.578549 13.556363
2025-08-24 1.398537 1.930659 2.690544 3.891782 5.815465 8.913380 14.592785
2025-08-31 1.322078 1.852168 2.623659 3.870513 5.920795 9.327222 15.818624
2025-09-07 1.287184 1.831927 2.641094 3.980563 6.247845 10.147067 17.907285
2025-09-14 1.225108 1.766203 2.583538 3.963635 6.356847 10.594252 19.346726
2025-09-21 1.160655 1.694221 2.513365 3.923517 6.427616 10.991288 20.776208
2025-09-28 1.069292 1.575210 2.361268 3.734032 6.215417 10.837280 21.033177
2025-10-05 1.029252 1.534725 2.332695 3.753268 6.383192 11.428736 23.003160
2025-10-12 1.002143 1.513044 2.332933 3.821906 6.648308 12.243027 25.626819
2025-10-19 0.978875 1.495983 2.339269 3.901101 6.940421 13.148404 28.647129
2025-10-26 0.951737 1.470794 2.329851 3.950063 7.176948 13.965852 31.620929
2025-11-02 0.921789 1.439119 2.307019 3.971643 7.359369 14.687646 34.501527
2025-11-09 0.871820 1.370935 2.216349 3.857322 7.248884 14.733965 35.554002
2025-11-16 0.835097 1.323653 2.160009 3.805068 7.264211 15.072416 37.502463
2025-11-23 0.805559 1.287363 2.121285 3.784375 7.345195 15.576465 40.049734
2025-11-30 0.796427 1.286206 2.145979 3.891437 7.717327 16.841386 45.237754